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The 2 faces of the American economy

By Robert Reich's Blog
America's two economies
The stock market is recovering, but employment isn't keeping up.
Source: The Christian Science Monitor
At a time when corporate profits are through the roof, the Dow is flirting with 12,000, Wall Street paychecks are fat again, and big corporations are sitting on more than $1 trillion in cash, you’d expect jobs be coming back. But you’d be wrong.

The U.S. economy added just 36,000 jobs in January, according to today’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Remember, 125,000 are needed just to keep up with the increase in the population of Americans wanting and needing work. And 300,000 a month are needed — continuously, for five years — if we’re to get back to anything like the employment we had before the Great Recession.

In other words, today’s employment report should be sending alarm bells all over official Washington. Granted, unusually bad weather may have accounted for some of the reluctance of employers to hire in January. But even considering the weather, the economy is still terribly sick. (Technical note: The official rate of unemployment fell to 9 percent from 9.4 percent, but that’s because more workers have left the labor market, too discouraged to continue looking for work. The official rate reflects how many people are actively looking for work.)

We have two economies. The first is in recovery. The second remains in a continuous depression.

The first is a professional, college-educated, high-wage economy centered in New York and Washington, that’s living well off of global corporate profits. Corporations continue to make money by selling abroad from their foreign operations while cutting costs (especially labor) here at home. Wall Street is making money by taking the Fed’s free money and speculating with it. The richest 10 percent of Americans, holding 90 percent of all financial assets, are riding the wave. And their upscale spending has given high-end retailers and producers a bounce.

The second is most of the rest of America, and it’s still struggling with a mountain of debt, declining home prices, and job losses. In coming months most Americans will also be contending with sharply rising prices of food and fuel.

Our representatives in Washington see and hear mostly the first economy. The business press reports mainly on the first economy. Corporate and Wall Street economists are concerned largely with the first economy.

But the second economy will determine our politics in 2012 and beyond.

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And not even the first can be sustained permanently on its own. Corporate profits cannot continue to rise on the basis of foreign sales (which are slowing as Europe adopts austerity and China raises interest rates), the purchases of the richest 10 percent of Americans (which are dependent on a rising stock market), and cost-cutting measures at home (which are necessarily limited). Without a strong and broadly-based middle-class recovery, America’s big money economy will fall in on itself. A major stock market “correction” is a certainty.

France's Christine Lagarde position on the Euro

FEBRUARY 7, 2011
France's Lagarde Says Euro Is Victim
By WILLIAM HOROBIN
Source: Wall Street Journal
PARIS—French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde on Sunday said global foreign-exchange imbalances must be tackled, as the euro is the victim of a weak U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan.

"We must reform the international monetary system so that the euro is not caught in the middle, hit by the expense of trade-offs between two currencies that are deliberately weak," Ms. Lagarde said in an interview on television channel France 5.

France has set out an ambitious agenda of monetary changes for its presidency of the Group of 20 industrialized nations this year. It has long argued that the international monetary system relies too heavily on the U.S. dollar, leading fast-growing countries such as China to amass huge dollar-denominated currency reserves that feed foreign-exchange volatility and weigh on the global economy.

The French finance minister also urged more convergence of economies in the euro zone and said it is better to have rules on coordination than resort to emergency measures. Her comments follow a European summit Friday where a Franco-German plan for a European competitiveness pact was met with anger from other euro-zone countries.

"It's not sufficient to have the same currency, we need concordant, coherent policies that lead us to a more competitive Europe," Ms. Lagarde said.

She said that the current bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility, should be able to disburse its full €440 billion in order to give the euro zone firepower to stave off crises.

The EFSF consists of €440 billion of loan guarantees that can be used to raise funds for troubled euro-zone countries, but its funding capacity falls short of that amount, in part so that it can sustain a AAA credit rating.

Germany has been unwilling to put more money on the table for bailout facilities in the euro zone without concretecommitments from other countries on public finances and competitiveness.
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Ms. Lagarde echoed the Germany line that proved controversial last week. "Everyone has to play the game. It's the principle of conditionality: We help you, but you have to make efforts yourself too," Ms. Lagarde said.

Also, Lagarde confirmed France's 2011 gross domestic product growth target of 2%, after GDP growth of at least 1.5% in 2010.

The French economy is out of the toughest part of the crisis, she said.

Danaher to Acquire Beckman Coulter for $5.87 Billion

FEBRUARY 7, 2011
By JON KAMP And LAUREN POLLOCK
Source: Wall Street Journal
Danaher Corp. agreed to acquire medical-test maker Beckman Coulter Inc. for $5.87 billion as the diversified manufacturer looks to gain a stronger foothold in the growing diagnostics industry.

The deal ends two months of speculation about the future of Beckman, which endured a rough year in 2010 following the recall of a faulty test for heart problems, multiple financial-guidance cuts and an unexpected CEO resignation.

The Wall Street Journal reported in December that Beckman had put itself on the block and could fetch more than $5 billion in a sale. Analysts had speculated the company would attract a large number of suitors.

Under the terms of the deal, Danaher will pay $83.50 for each Beckman share, which the companies said represents a premium of about 45% over where the stock was trading Dec. 9, before takeover rumors surfaced.

Beckman shares rose 9.7% to $82.48 early Monday, while Danaher was up 3.9% to $49.83. Beckman shares have never traded as high as the offer price and were under $44 as recently as September. The stock is up 36% in the past three months, thanks to the acquisition speculation.

Danaher said it is covering 25% of the deal with cash on hand, 60% from new and assumed debt and 15% from equity. The company plans to pay down a "sizable" amount of debt this year, Chief Financial Officer Daniel L. Comas said on a conference call.

Danaher expects the deal to add five cents to 10 cents to adjusted per-share earnings this year, excluding acquisition-related, one-time charges. The company then sees a per-share earnings benefit of 25 cents to 30 cents next year on a generally accepted accounting principles basis.

Additionally, Danaher sees an opportunity for more than $250 million in cost synergies over the next few years, Danaher Chief Executive H. Lawrence Culp Jr., said. The company anticipates a 10% return on invested capital in less than four years.

Mr. Culp said Beckman's heart-test issue "was a key focus" and that fixes are under way. He agreed with an analyst who suggested the heart test could get back on the market by year end, although he said Danaher has "allowed ourselves a little bit of wiggle room."

"Make no mistake, we have work to do," Mr. Culp said on the call. "Frankly, that is part of the value-creation opportunity here."

Beckman was thrown into turmoil when it recalled the test for measuring a protein that signals heart problems, citing faulty results. The Orange County, Calif., company also came under fire from the Food and Drug Administration, which believed Beckman marketed that diagnostic test without the needed agency clearance. Beckman has been working on a clinical trial to support two upcoming FDA applications to back that test.

Meantime, former Chief Executive Scott Garrett abruptly resigned last September, and Beckman has said it was engaged in a search for his successor. Bob Hurley, who has served as chairman of Beckman's Japan operations, was named interim president and CEO.

"Following a very comprehensive and competitive process, the board of directors voted unanimously to accept Danaher's proposal," Mr. Hurley said in a press release.

Danaher has relied on acquisitions to bolster a slow-growing revenue base. The company looks for underperforming companies and has a reputation for wringing out fast margin-expansion results after deals.

Mr. Culp said Danaher doesn't believe additional large deals are needed to give it a strong life-sciences and diagnostics business, although future smaller-scale, "bolt-on" deals are possible.

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The deal, structured as a tender offer, is expected to be completed in the first half of 2011. The companies valued it at about $6.8 billion, including debt assumption and net of cash acquired.

Late last month, Danaher reported its fourth-quarter earnings rose 78%, topping the company's own estimates, as sales improved, margins surged and the company saw increased restructuring costs in the prior quarter.

Meanwhile, Beckman in October said its third-quarter earnings surged, following charges the prior year, while the company showed signs of improvement as it worked through quality problems and pressure from the weakened economy.

Obama Vows to 'Knock Down' Business Barriers

By JARED FAVOLE
Source: Wall Street Journal
WASHINGTON—President Barack Obama on Monday told corporate leaders they must shoulder responsibility for lifting the shaky economy and vowed to "knock down" government barriers that hamper business growth.
Mr. Obama, speaking to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the large business lobby, said he wants the business community's help in revamping the corporate-tax code, expanding the economy and making government run more efficiently.

"We're trying to run the government more like you run your businesses—with better technology and faster services," Mr. Obama said at the chamber.

In exchange for their help, Mr. Obama said, to applause, "I'll go anywhere anytime to be a booster for American businesses, American workers, and American products."

The president, striking an optimistic and conciliatory tone, said the business community and his administration are in the same fight to expand the economy. He said the U.S. still has the most vibrant, dynamic economy and the best workers.

"Now is the time to invest in America," Mr. Obama repeated to applause.

U.S. Chamber of Commerce President Thomas J. Donohue said the business group has an "absolute commitment" to work with the administration to advance business interests.

Mr. Obama's relations with the business community soured during his first two years in office as he blamed bankers for causing the financial crisis. A wave of new regulations from the health-care law to the overhaul of Wall Street have also raised ire in the business community.

Mr. Obama joked about his shaky relationship with the chamber and business community.

"Maybe if we had brought over a fruitcake when I first moved in we would have gotten off to a better start," Mr. Obama said. The chamber's headquarters is located across the street from the White House.

Mr. Obama vowed, "I'm going to make up for it."

The president has taken steps recently that appear aimed at appeasing the business community, from choosing a chief of staff who used to work with J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. to calling for federal agencies to identify outdated, onerous regulations that can be taken off the books.

While Mr. Obama said he is ready to work with the business community, he also reiterated the importance of government regulation. "The perils of too much regulation are matched by the dangers of too little," Mr. Obama said. He added, "We saw that in the financial crisis, where the absence of sound rules of the road was hardly good for business."

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The business community has said the overhaul of the financial sector ushered in new rules that will make it hard for American businesses to compete. Mr. Obama said the rules passed in the financial overhaul were "commonsense" reforms aimed at protecting consumers and the overall economy.

Mr. Obama mentioned Paul Volcker, the former Federal Reserve chairman, in his speech. Mr. Volcker, now a presidential adviser, backed a rule during the financial crisis now carrying his name that is designed to discourage banks from engaging in risky trades with their own money. The financial industry has said the rule may limit their ability to grow.

Mr. Obama is set to have lunch with Mr. Volcker Monday afternoon.

Obama: "Businesses have a responsibility towards America"

Obama Asks Companies to ‘Get in the Game’ by Spending
February 07, 2011, 3:07 PM EST
Source: Bloomberg Business Week
Kate Andersen Brower and Mike Dorning
Feb. 7 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama urged U.S. business leaders to “get in the game” and support their country by moving cash from the sidelines into the economy.

“Now is the time to invest in America,” Obama said in a speech to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce that combined an argument that his policies have laid a foundation for business success with a focus on shared responsibility for economic growth couched in patriotic terms.

In places, Obama echoed the rhetoric of President John F. Kennedy, who called on Americans to “ask what you can do for your country” during the Cold War.

“As we work with you to make America a better place to do business, I’m hoping that all of you are thinking what you can do for America,” Obama said. “Ask yourselves what you can do to hire more American workers, what you can do to support the American economy and invest in this nation.”

Johanna Schneider, who directs external relations for the Business Roundtable, an association of almost 200 chief executives of global companies, said corporations owe their shareholders a duty to make investment decisions based on economic conditions.

“Jobs will follow demand,” Schneider said. “Unless you see sustained demand for your product or your service, you cannot from a fiduciary standpoint invest in more employees.”

Trade, Tax Deals

In remarks to the chamber, which opposed key parts of his signature initiatives over the past two years, Obama said he is doing his part to improve the business climate after a free- trade agreement with South Korea, a deal to extend Bush-era tax cuts, and a State of the Union address that proposed more government support for infrastructure and “innovation.”

“I understand that you’re under incredible pressure to cut costs and keep your margins up,” Obama told the group, which represents companies such as Caterpillar Inc. and Lockheed Martin Corp. “I understand the significance of your obligations to your shareholders. I get it.”

The chamber has complained that Obama has cost the economy jobs while pursuing health-care and climate legislation it opposed. The organization spent more than $30 million on the 2010 congressional elections, mostly to back Republicans.

The speech was his first formal address to the chamber and took place at the group’s headquarters in Washington across Lafayette Park from the White House. Obama walked across the park to make the speech and began by joking, “if we had brought over a fruitcake when I first moved in, we would have gotten off to a better start.”

Rebuilding the Country

He touched on some of the same themes he struck in his State of the Union address: the need to rebuild and modernize the nation’s transportation and telecommunications systems and take steps that will promote research and innovation in areas such as biotechnology, information technology and clean energy.

“The costs to business from the outdated and inadequate infrastructure we currently have are enormous,” Obama said. “That’s why I want to put more people to work” rebuilding crumbling roads and bridges.

At the same time, he said he recognized that government must “cut spending that we just can’t afford.”

He said businesses deserve a revamped tax code and other measures that will help them compete, including balanced regulation. He called on businesses to join him in an effort to change a “burdensome tax code.”

‘Loopholes and Carve-Outs’

Obama said “various loopholes and carve-outs” distort economic decisions. He drew attention to the way the deduction for interest encourages companies to borrow rather than invest with equity.

“You’ve got too many companies ending up making decisions based on what their tax director says instead of what their engineer designs or what their factories produce,” Obama said. “And that puts our entire economy at a disadvantage.”

Obama said that while he will pursue a review of government rules affecting business, “not every regulation is bad; not every regulation is burdensome on business.”

The benefits of changes on behalf of business must be shared with workers, Obama said.

“We cannot go back to the kind of economy and culture that we saw in the years leading up to the recession, where growth and gains in productivity just didn’t translate into rising incomes and opportunity for the middle class,” he said.

Defusing Tensions

Since Republicans took control of the House of Representatives in the November elections, Obama has taken steps that have defused tensions and earned praise from corporate critics such as Ivan Seidenberg, chief executive officer of Verizon Communications Inc.

The deal Obama reached with Republicans to extend the tax cuts for two years and the appointment of former JPMorgan & Chase Co. executive William Daley as his chief of staff were cheered by the chamber. So was his commitment to push for the long-stalled trade accord with South Korea.

“You have to give the president his due,” Thomas Collamore, the chamber’s senior vice president of communications, said before the speech. “Certainly, the atmospherics are different, and that’s all to the better.”

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has risen about 8 percent since the tax-cut deal was reached on Dec. 6. Many private forecasters raised their projections for the economy after the compromise, with the median forecast for gross domestic product growth in 2011 at 3.1 percent in January, up from 2.6 percent in December, according to a monthly Bloomberg News survey of economists.

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Companies themselves are doing better. While the U.S. unemployment rate has remained at least 9 percent for the longest stretch since monthly data was first compiled in 1948, U.S. corporations by the end of last year’s third quarter saw their profits rebound to a near record and nonfinancial companies held $1.9 trillion in cash on their balance sheets, according to Commerce Department and Federal Reserve data.

--With assistance from Mark Drajem, Nicholas Johnston, Richard Rubin and Heidi Przybyla in Washington. Editors: Joe Sobczyk, Mark McQuillan.

AOL Acquires Huffington Post in Bid to Revive Growth

February 07, 2011
By Brett Pulley and Young-Sam Cho
Source: Bloomberg Business Week
Feb. 7 (Bloomberg) -- AOL Inc. agreed to buy the Huffington Post for $315 million as the Internet company spun off from Time Warner Inc. increases its investments in online content to help revive growth in advertising revenue.

The offer includes about $300 million in cash and the deal will likely be completed late in the first quarter or early in the second, New York-based AOL said in a statement today. Co- founder Arianna Huffington, 60, will become president and editor-in-chief of the Huffington Post Media Group, which will include all Huffington Post and AOL content.

AOL, led by Chief Executive Officer Tim Armstrong, acquired the TechCrunch blog and 5Min Media last year, investing in specialized websites and production of original video content to generate Internet traffic and attract advertising revenue. The number of unique visitors at closely held Huffington Post, which aggregates articles and publishes its own content, has grown to about 25 million a month since its debut in 2005.

“With this acquisition, Tim Armstrong is well on his way to transforming AOL into an online editorial-based content company,” Shahid Khan, chairman and chief strategist at MediaMorph Inc., a New York-based digital media-tracking service, said in an interview. “HuffPost gives AOL a very compelling, affluent, educated young audience. It further strengthens AOL’s overall editorial abilities with Arianna in charge.”

AOL declined 5 cents to $21.89 at 10:52 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, after falling as much as 4 percent. The shares had declined 7.5 percent this year before today.

Huffington + TechCrunch

AOL is struggling with declining revenue in both its advertising and Internet-access subscription businesses. The company this month reported fourth-quarter revenue fell 26 percent to $596 million, with advertising sales dropping 29 percent to $331.6 million.

Huffington Post had revenue of about $30 million last year and has been aiming to triple that to $100 million in 2012, a person familiar with the company’s plans said in December. The company posted its first annual profit in 2010, Huffington, a Greek-born, Cambridge-educated author and political commentator, said in a conference call to announce the deal to investors.

The combination will create a group with about 270 million unique visitors a month worldwide and 117 million in the U.S., according to the statement. Huffington Post material will be integrated with AOL content, including Engadget, TechCrunch, Moviefone and MapQuest, according to the statement.

“Huffington Post brings another level of ability for us to serve brand marketers,” said Armstrong on the conference call. He said marketers contacted in recent hours are “very interested in this combination.”

Equity in AOL

The $300 million in cash will be divided among the Huffington Post’s owners, which included Huffington and her co- founder, New York-based angel investor Ken Lerer, and venture capital investors. Employees of Huffington Post will receive $15 million in AOL stock in exchange for their unvested Huffington Post options, AOL Chief Financial Officer Arthur Minson said on the call.

Huffington Post had raised about $35 million in venture capital from firms including Greycroft Partners LLC, founded by Alan Patricof. Most of the last round of $25 million, led by Oak Investment Partners, remained in the bank in December, Huffington said in an interview at that time.

She said she and Lerer together raised an initial $2 million to start the company. The company declined to say how much of its equity is controlled by Huffington.

‘Moved Quickly’

The purchase price is above the historical average for similar deals. Web portals, such as the Huffington Post and companies like social networking site Facebook Inc., have been valued at about 1.5 times their revenue, according to the median of a dozen deals tracked by Bloomberg in the past two years.

AOL’s Armstrong requested a meeting with Arianna Huffington this year and made the offer to buy the website at a lunch at her place, according to a blog posting by Huffington today.

“Things moved quickly” and the deal was signed at the Super Bowl at the Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas, yesterday, she said.

The Huffington Post site has benefited as newspapers and magazines lose readers and advertisers to the more interactive experience of Web services. While the site’s number of visitors trail behind those of the New York Times, it exceeds those of online-based rivals such as the Daily Beast and the Drudge Report, according to estimates at ComScore Inc.

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The site has boosted traffic by encouraging readers to weigh in on stories and contribute their own views.

“People don’t want just to consume news,” Huffington said in an interview at her New York City headquarters in December. “They want to share it, they want to advance it, and add to it.”

(AOL held call today to discuss the deal. To hear replays of the call, dial 888-286-8010 in the U.S. and Canada, or 617- 801-6888 internationally, and use replay code 90388239.)

--With assistance from Amy Thomson in New York. Editors: Peter Elstrom, Ville Heiskanen

30 Best Blogs for Recent Grads Saddled With Debt

Source: OEDB.org
Going to college, whether online or off, close to home or in a foreign country, can be an exciting, enlightening and ultimately life-changing experience. While it may be well worth it in the long run, it comes at a high cost to many students, and debt after graduation can be crippling for those who don't have high paying jobs or who cannot find work at all. Finding a way to manage your finances and battle down that debt is a common struggle, so why not share in it with others who are where you are and who've come out on the other side? Here are some great blogs that will help you learn about debt reduction, pay off your debts and become a more financially savvy adult.
Education
These blogs will teach you the basics of managing your finances.
  1. Engineer Your Finances: Want some great advice on how to structure your financial situation so that you'll be financially secure instead of in tons of debt? Give this blog a read, or two.
  2. I Will Teach You to Be Rich: One of the most popular PF blogs on the web, this blog will show you how to make the best use of your income.
  3. Get Rich Slowly: It's not going to happen overnight, so learn how to make your finances work for you the slow and steady way.
  4. MintLife Blog: While using a site like Mint can help you really keep track of your finances, you don't have to use it to appreciate the great advice offered on this blog.
  5. Realm of Prosperity: Who doesn't want to be prosperous? On this blog, you'll get financial advice geared towards young adults.
  6. Bargaineering: From saving to smart spending, check out this blog for all your financial advice needs.
  7. Consumerism Commentary: Don't be stupid when it comes to spending your money. Learn how to spend smart, save and plan for the future on this blog.
  8. Independent Beginnings: Being out on your own and managing your own finances can be tricky. This blog offers help for young people in need of personal finance advice.
For Students and Recent Grads
Geared towards those who've just emerged from school or who are due to graduate soon, these finance blogs deal with a wide range of grad finance issues.
  1. Studentnomics: This blog is all about helping young people like yourself pay off their students debts, save their money and enjoy living life in the real world.
  2. The Frugal Law Student: Anyone with crushing school debt can understand the concerns of this law student struggling to save and make ends meet.
  3. 20 Something Finance: As you enter your 20s, you'll learn more than a few things about personal finance. This blog is there to help you along the way.
  4. Poorer Than You: Check out this site for posts on financial issues that affect students and young grads, like school debt, building net worth and much more.
  5. Money Under 30: There are some money issues that are a lot more important to fresh grads and twenty-somethings than those over 30. Learn more about them on this site.
  6. Grad Money Matters: Your education may have helped get you a job, but it doesn't guarantee smarts when it comes to money. Learn more about financial issues that all grads should be worried about here.
  7. Green Panda Treehouse: The financial articles on this blog are geared towards money issues that new grads face, from finding a first post-college job to paying off those horrible school debts.
Debt Blogs
Through these blogs you'll find the information and inspiration you need to help pay off your student debts.
  1. No Debt Plan: These bloggers share how they're working their way out of debt and into financial security.
  2. Stop Buying Crap: Want to focus on getting your school debts paid off? This blog could offer the solution.
  3. Man Vs. Debt: Even with kids, this young dad shows that it is possible to pay off even huge amounts of debt.
  4. Debt Free Adventure: If you're unsure how to even begin paying off debts, give this blog a read. It offers pointers on everything you'll need to know to get rid of debt and get on your feet.
  5. Single Guy Money: If you're like many college grads, you're single, have your first job and not much practice managing your money. This blogger shares your struggle, so read on to see how he got through.
  6. The Simple Dollar: The articles on this blog are easy to understand and can help you learn how to save more and pay off your debts before doing anything else.
  7. Debt Hater: Hate your debt? So does this blogger. Learn what measures they're taking to battle debts and how you can follow suit.
Inspiration
These bloggers prove that paying off your debt really can be done, and they'll show you how.
  1. TeacHer Finance: Teachers don't make big bucks, but even on a limited budget this young teacher is trying to power through paying back her debts.
  2. My Money Blog: This blogger is working towards financial security bit by bit, and you can follow along here.
  3. Budgets are Sexy: Learn why creating a budget, however boring it sounds, can really be a boon for your finances. Don't think so? This blogger shows off just how it's helped.
Loan Blogs
Learn more about student loans, from consolidation to payment options, on these sites.
  1. Forgive Student Loan Debt to Stimulate the Economy: This blogger supports helping students and the economy at the same time by forgiving loan debt.
  2. Student Loan Blog:From finding a job post-college to understanding your loan repayment, this blog has loads to offer debt-saddled students.
  3. The Credit Blog: Loans are a form of credit, and you need to learn all you can about them to best pay them off.
  4. Financial Aid News Blog: This financial aid news site offers not only information about programs to help you pay back your debt, but helpful information you might not find elsewhere.
  5. College Loan Consultant: Learn more about what kinds of loans are out there, how to repay them, and what kind of tax breaks you can get from this site.